2ndLook

Comps that already cleared the bar

Sometimes the better move isn't going back to a founder you passed on. It's a comparable company that already cleared the exact risk you passed for.

These companies are also in your pass log.
CompComp toStrongest proof pointProof points
Baseten

ML infrastructure, baseten.co

No big customers:De-risked
Fireworks AI

Passed Oct 6, 2025 by Sam Ortiz

“no enterprise customers yet”

Akta news · Sep 30, 2026 · 12 mo after you passed on Fireworks AI

“Baseten announced a partnership with OpenAI to become its first B2B provider of open-source model inference”

Kimi K3等中国开源模型接入OpenAI企业服务- DoNews快讯

Read source

7

Open memo

Increase

fintech infrastructure, increase.com

Too early on revenue:De-risked
Hebbia

Passed May 27, 2025 by Jordan Lee

“too early on revenue”

Akta news · Sep 25, 2026 · 16 mo after you passed on Hebbia

“Companies like Coast, Gusto, and Ramp rely on Increase technology to process more than $500B annualized in payments, card transactions, and loans.”

CORRECTING and REPLACING Tekion, Increase, and Core Bank Partner to Bring Industry-First Embedded Banking to Automotive Retail

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2

Open memo

Moov

fintech infrastructure, moov.io

Too early on revenue:De-risked
Hebbia

Passed May 27, 2025 by Jordan Lee

“too early on revenue”

Akta news · Sep 13, 2026 · 16 mo after you passed on Hebbia

“Coinbase said Moov already serves more than 1,000 community banks and credit unions, describing an existing customer footprint”

Coinbase and Moov Plan Stablecoin Services for Local Banks: Guest Post by Coinlive.me

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1

Open memo

Decagon

AI customer support, decagon.ai

No big customers:De-risked
Neon

Passed Sep 9, 2025 by Daniel Okafor

“no enterprise logos”

Akta news · Oct 3, 2026 · 13 mo after you passed on Neon

“Decagon announced on October 2, 2026 that it is a launch partner for OpenAI's B2B Marketplace, allowing eligible enterprise customers to apply part of their existing OpenAI commitment toward Decagon's AI agents.”

Decagon Joins OpenAI’s B2B Marketplace as a Launch Partner

Read source

7

Open memo

Modal

developer tools, modal.com

Round dynamics:De-risked
Pinecone

Passed Sep 29, 2025 by Daniel Okafor

“valuation too high”

Akta news · Oct 22, 2026 · 13 mo after you passed on Pinecone

“Since their $5B series C, Modal now reports it crossed $1 billion in annualized run rate, raised a $750 million Series D at a $16B valuation”

Why AI Compute Comes in Rectangles — Erik Bernhardsson, Modal CEO — Latent Space

Read source

8

Open memo

Resend

developer tools, resend.com

No product yet:De-risked
Pylon

Passed Oct 10, 2025 by Daniel Okafor

“pre-product when we met”

Hacker News · Oct 20, 2026 · 12 mo after you passed on Pylon

“I checked 8,062 Show HN domains: 223 send with Resend and have no MX record”

I checked 8,062 Show HN domains: 223 send with Resend and have no MX record

Read source

4

Open memo

Clay

GTM data tooling, clay.com

No distribution yet:De-risked
Railway

Passed Aug 15, 2025 by Priya Shah

“distribution unproven”

Akta news · Oct 20, 2026 · 14 mo after you passed on Railway

“By pairing data engineering with outsourced execution, demandDrive has driven broad adoption across its client base”

demandDrive Named Clay's Inaugural "Rising Star" Partner Following Rapid GTM Tech Integration

Read source

3

Open memo

Baseten

ML infrastructure, baseten.co

No big customers:De-risked
Replicate

Passed Jun 24, 2025 by Maya Chen

“mostly bottoms-up hobby use”

Akta news · Sep 30, 2026 · 15 mo after you passed on Replicate

“Baseten announced a partnership with OpenAI to become its first B2B provider of open-source model inference”

Kimi K3等中国开源模型接入OpenAI企业服务- DoNews快讯

Read source

7

Open memo

Modal

developer tools, modal.com

Round dynamics:De-risked
Supabase

Passed May 25, 2025 by Maya Chen

“round full and priced beyond us”

Akta news · Oct 22, 2026 · 17 mo after you passed on Supabase

“Since their $5B series C, Modal now reports it crossed $1 billion in annualized run rate, raised a $750 million Series D at a $16B valuation”

Why AI Compute Comes in Rectangles — Erik Bernhardsson, Modal CEO — Latent Space

Read source

8

Open memo

Resend

developer tools, resend.com

No product yet:De-risked
Turso

Passed Jul 30, 2025 by Elena Rossi

“pre-1.0, basically a demo”

Hacker News · Oct 20, 2026 · 15 mo after you passed on Turso

“I checked 8,062 Show HN domains: 223 send with Resend and have no MX record”

I checked 8,062 Show HN domains: 223 send with Resend and have no MX record

Read source

4

Open memo

Decagon

AI customer support, decagon.ai

No big customers:De-risked
Turso

Passed Jul 30, 2025 by Elena Rossi

“no production users”

Akta news · Oct 3, 2026 · 14 mo after you passed on Turso

“Decagon announced on October 2, 2026 that it is a launch partner for OpenAI's B2B Marketplace, allowing eligible enterprise customers to apply part of their existing OpenAI commitment toward Decagon's AI agents.”

Decagon Joins OpenAI’s B2B Marketplace as a Launch Partner

Read source

7

Open memo

Clay

GTM data tooling, clay.com

No distribution yet:De-risked
Warp

Passed Jun 5, 2025 by Jordan Lee

“no enterprise sales motion”

Akta news · Oct 20, 2026 · 16 mo after you passed on Warp

“By pairing data engineering with outsourced execution, demandDrive has driven broad adoption across its client base”

demandDrive Named Clay's Inaugural "Rising Star" Partner Following Rapid GTM Tech Integration

Read source

3

Open memo